|
10、内部收益率比较: 10.1、方案II 的内部收益率估算:
方案II 20年全资内部收益率
| 年 |
年份 |
本金 |
利息 |
燃料成本 |
运行成本 |
收益 |
平衡 |
| |
|
|
5% |
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
2002 |
7,560,750 |
|
278,510 |
23,630 |
633,778 |
-7,229,113 |
| 2 |
2003 |
8,895,000 |
361,456 |
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
-1,334,250 |
| 3 |
2004 |
7,266,632 |
444,750 |
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
- |
| 4 |
2005 |
5,721,558 |
363,332 |
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
- |
| 5 |
2006 |
4,095,066 |
286,078 |
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
- |
| 6 |
2007 |
2,391,320 |
204,753 |
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
- |
| 7 |
2008 |
606,249 |
119,566 |
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
- |
| 8 |
2009 |
|
30,312 |
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,264,008 |
| 9 |
2010 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 10 |
2011 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 11 |
2012 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 12 |
2013 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 13 |
2014 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 14 |
2015 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 15 |
2016 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 16 |
2017 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 17 |
2018 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 18 |
2019 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 19 |
2020 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 20 |
2021 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| 21 |
2022 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
141,781 |
3,802,666 |
1,989,824 |
| IRR |
9.40% |
10.2、 方案III 的内部收益率估算:
方案III 20年全资内部收益率
| 年 |
年份 |
本金 |
利息 |
燃料成本 |
运行成本 |
收益 |
平衡 |
| |
|
|
5% |
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
2002 |
5,430,650 |
|
278,510 |
36,512 |
551,608 |
-5,194,073 |
| 2 |
2003 |
6,389,000 |
259,704 |
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
-958,350 |
| 3 |
2004 |
5,229,632 |
319,450 |
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
- |
| 4 |
2005 |
4,129,231 |
261,462 |
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
- |
| 5 |
2006 |
2,971,233 |
206,462 |
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
- |
| 6 |
2007 |
2,391,320 |
148,562 |
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
- |
| 7 |
2008 |
487,334 |
87,912 |
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
- |
| 8 |
2009 |
|
24,367 |
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
844,216 |
| 9 |
2010 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 10 |
2011 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 11 |
2012 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 12 |
2013 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 13 |
2014 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 14 |
2015 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 15 |
2016 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 16 |
2017 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 17 |
2018 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 18 |
2019 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 19 |
2020 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 20 |
2021 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| 21 |
2022 |
|
|
1,671,061 |
219,123 |
3,309,646 |
1,419,461 |
| IRR |
9.29% |
10.3、两个方案的全资20年内部收益率均高于9%,具有较好的投资收益。方案II
的20年内部收益率略高于方案III 的20年内部收益率,尽管方案III 的投资低于方案II 。
|